Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Arthur Grimes Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Grimes Author-Email: arthur.grimes@motu.org.nz Author-Workplace-Name: Motu Economic and Public Policy Research and the University of Auckland Author-Name: Eyal Apatov Author-X-Name-First: Eyal Author-X-Name-Last: Apatov Author-Email: eyal.apatov@motu.org.nz Author-Workplace-Name: Motu Economic and Public Policy Research Author-Name: Larissa Lutchman Author-X-Name-First: Larissa Author-X-Name-Last: Lutchman Author-Workplace-Name: The University of Auckland Author-Name: Anna Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Author-Email: anna.robinson@motu.org.nz Author-Workplace-Name: Motu Economic and Public Policy Research Title: Infrastructure’s Long-Lived Impact on Urban Development: Theory and Empirics Abstract: We analyse impacts that infrastructure provision and other factors have on long run urban growth. Reflecting spatial equilibrium insights, growing cities have preferred attributes relative to other cities. These attributes may include natural characteristics, social amenities and transport infrastructure that have productive and/or amenity value. We outline a theoretical model that includes distance-related effects on individual utility and thence population location, and we test this model using historical data covering 1926 to 2006 across 56 New Zealand towns. Instruments dating back to 1880 are used to deal with potential endogeneity issues, and we use spatial-econometrics techniques to test for spatial spillovers between cities. Our analysis shows that four dominant factors have impacted positively on urban growth, especially since 1966: nearby land-use capability, human capital, sunshine hours and proximity to the country’s dominant city, Auckland. Length: 40 pages Creation-Date: 2014-10 File-URL: https://motu-www.motu.org.nz/wpapers/14_11.pdf Number: 14_11 Classification-JEL: H54; R12 Keywords: Infrastructure; city development; population growth; migration; spatial equilibrium Handle: RePEc:mtu:wpaper:14_11